The Quinnipiac survey from Oct. 29 shows only 6% of voters undecided. Yet, the gap has narrowed to single digits. Zohran Mamdani leads with 43%, followed by Andrew Cuomo with 33%, and Curtis Sliwa with 14%. The next 24 hours could be critical in deciding the next mayor of New York.
Recent polls from Fox News, Marist, and others show Mamdani in the lead. But the race is tight. With nyc election day on Tuesday, Nov. 4, the field is changing fast.
Markets reflect the tight race. Polymarket, Kalshi, and Oddschecker favor Mamdani. They point to his strong support among young and working-class voters in Brooklyn and Queens. Early voting has added to the excitement, making it a top story in new york city latest news.
Endorsements have made the race even more intense. Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez support Mamdani. Mayor Eric Adams backs Cuomo, while Sliwa appeals to those who want law and order. For those following the race, it’s a data battle and a test of voter turnout. The winner will set the tone for New York’s future.
Polls will be open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. on nyc election day. FOX 5 NY will stream results live in the late afternoon. The outcome will have a big impact on policy and will dominate the news for weeks.
Latest polling snapshot as the clock runs down
The final day of nyc elections brings a big change in the mayor poll. Many surveys show a tight race. The latest news from New York focuses on the last-minute moves of key groups.
Quinnipiac shows Mamdani ahead as race narrows
Quinnipiac’s Oct. 29 poll puts Mamdani at 43%, Cuomo at 33%, and Sliwa at 14%. 6% are undecided, and 3% have no answer. The gap is getting smaller, but Mamdani is leading as people talk about turnout in nyc elections.
Poll-by-poll: Atlas, Hill/Emerson, Fox News, Marist, and more
Atlas shows Mamdani at 40.6%, Cuomo at 34%, and Sliwa at 24.1%. Hill/Emerson has Mamdani at 50%, Cuomo at 25%, and Sliwa at 21%. 5% are undecided.
Fox News lists Mamdani at 47%, Cuomo at 31%, and Sliwa at 15%. 7% say “someone else/Don’t know,” with some mentioning Eric Adams. Marist puts Mamdani at 48%, Cuomo at 32%, and Sliwa at 16%. 3% are undecided.
Suffolk University shows Mamdani at 44%, Cuomo at 34%, and Sliwa at 22%. Victory Insights gives Mamdani an 18-point lead. Patriot Polling shows Mamdani leading by 11 points.
Gotham Polling/AARP models a scenario where Sliwa drops out. This shows Mamdani at 44.6% vs. Cuomo at 40.7% (±4 MOE). This is a key point in the mayor poll story.
| Pollster | Fielding Through | Mamdani | Cuomo | Sliwa | Undecided/Other | Key Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | Oct. 29 | 43% | 33% | 14% | 9% | Narrowing lead |
| Atlas | Oct. 31 | 40.6% | 34% | 24.1% | 1.3% | Three-way compression |
| Hill/Emerson | Oct. 30 | 50% | 25% | 21% | 4% | Higher Mamdani ceiling |
| Fox News | Oct. 30 | 47% | 31% | 15% | 7% | Includes “someone else/Don’t know” |
| Marist | Oct. 30 | 48% | 32% | 16% | 4% | Consistent with Fox/Quinnipiac |
| Suffolk University | Late Oct. | 44% | 34% | — | 22% | 10-point advantage |
| Victory Insights | Late Oct. | — | — | — | — | Reports 18-point lead |
| Patriot Polling | Late Oct. | — | — | — | — | Reports 11-point lead |
| Gotham Polling/AARP | Late Oct. | 44.6% | 40.7% | Sliwa exit | ±4 MOE | Hypothetical consolidation |
RealClearPolitics average trends for Mamdani, Cuomo, Sliwa
As of Oct. 30, RealClearPolitics averages show Mamdani at 45.8%, Cuomo at 31.1%, and Sliwa at 17.3%. This average view matches the story in nyc elections. It helps readers understand the voting results better.
Undecided voters and second-choice dynamics shaping outcomes
Late changes can make a big difference. A recent survey shows Cuomo leading among independents by 10 and Hispanic voters by 1. Sliwa supporters prefer Cuomo over Mamdani 36% to 2% for second choice.
These changes are important for the latest news in New York. They affect undecided voters and can change the early voting results on Election Night.
Betting odds and prediction markets outlook
Prediction markets show a clear edge with the latest election news. Traders look at polls, turnout maps, and borough splits. Todays news fox coverage shows how prices change with late crosstabs.
For more on how prices shift, check out this Fox 5 NY polling update. It helps understand the shifts before election results today fox news headlines.
Polymarket traders overwhelmingly favor Mamdani
Polymarket shows a strong lean toward Zohran Mamdani. Prices are near the high-80s and low-90s. One board has Mamdani at 94%, Cuomo at 6%, and Sliwa under 1%.
Earlier, Polymarket and others were near 88%. But a slide could flip projections. This shows how fast markets adjust to new election news.
Kalshi and Oddschecker signals heading into Election Day
Kalshi also shows a strong lean toward Mamdani, around 88%. Oddschecker has Mamdani at –3333, showing strong confidence. These signs point to Mamdani’s strong chances, even with Cuomo gaining support among some voters.
| Market/Book | Mamdani | Cuomo | Sliwa | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (recent) | 89%–94% | 6%–10% | Traders price a dominant favorite with thin downside risk | |
| Kalshi (recent) | ~87%–88% | ~12% | Strong consensus across exchanges | |
| Oddschecker (book line) | –3333 | Long odds | Long odds | Bookmakers align with market confidence |
What shifting odds imply for late-breaking momentum
Stable favorites can coexist with tightening polls. Markets focus on turnout in Queens and Brooklyn, and early votes. If Sliwa gains late, prices might change.
But spreads suggest a narrow chance for a big shift before election results today fox news updates. For more on market moves and polling, see the Fox 5 NY analysis linked above.
Early voting and turnout by the numbers
As nyc election day approaches, early voting is picking up pace. People have been lining up for nine days straight. This shows the excitement building up before the results come in.
NYC Board of Elections tallies across all five boroughs
The NYC Board of Elections has seen steady traffic. Here’s how many early votes each borough has had by Day 3.
| Borough | Early Votes Through Day 3 | Share of Day-3 Total | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn | 67,729 | 29.8% | Largest pool of early ballots so far |
| Manhattan | 67,110 | 29.5% | Close second, reflecting dense site coverage |
| Queens | 52,272 | 22.9% | Strong mid-borough turnout |
| Bronx | 19,096 | 8.4% | Climb expected as weekday voting expands |
| Staten Island | 17,061 | 7.5% | Compact but steady participation |
Early voting started on Oct. 25 and ended on Nov. 2. Hours varied by location. It closed two days before nyc election day on Nov. 4.
Record participation trends in Brooklyn and Manhattan
Over the first weekend, New Yorkers cast about 164,000 early ballots. Brooklyn and Manhattan led the way, beating expectations. This kept wait times short at most sites.
These boroughs are key to the news today. Their strong turnout shows a high level of civic engagement. This bodes well for the upcoming nyc voting results.
What heavy early voting could mean for election results
Heavy early voting can help campaigns with strong teams. It can lead to more early votes. If young and working-class voters keep showing up, the early results might reflect that.
But, some voters might decide on nyc election day. Their choices could change the results as precincts report. This could affect the evening’s nyc voting results.
Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 4, 6 a.m. to 9 p.m., with early voting now concluded and counting rules guiding the release of results.
nyc election day: what voters need to know
Voters have a clear path to take part in nyc election day. Plan ahead, check your details, and build in a few extra minutes for lines. Real-time tools will help track new york voting results as precincts report.
Poll hours: Tuesday, Nov. 4, 6 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Polls across New York City open Tuesday, Nov. 4, from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. Arrive early or late to avoid the rush. If you are in line by 9 p.m., you can vote.
Bring any helpful info like your address and election district if you have it. Early voting ended Sunday, so all ballots today are cast at assigned sites.
How to find your polling place and verify registration
Use the New York State Board of Elections online lookup to confirm your registration. Enter your name, ZIP code, date of birth, and county to see your voter record.
The tool also shows your assigned Election Day site and past early voting locations. The NYC Board of Elections shares the same lookup to ensure you go to the right address.
Tracking real-time nyc voting results on Election Night
For live precinct returns and borough maps, tune into fox news nyc live and live news fox 5 coverage starting late afternoon. FOX 5 NY begins Election Night programming at 4 p.m. on digital and streaming, followed by rolling updates as polls close.
As absentee and early votes are counted, the dashboards will refresh with new york voting results. Expect district-by-district views, turnout snapshots, and alerts as key races are called.
| What | When | Where | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poll Opening | Tue, Nov. 4, 6:00 a.m. | Assigned polling place in NYC | Early arrival reduces wait times and ensures access before work. |
| Poll Closing | Tue, Nov. 4, 9:00 p.m. | Assigned polling place in NYC | Voters in line by 9:00 p.m. can vote. |
| Registration & Site Lookup | Anytime before voting | New York State Board of Elections lookup | Confirms eligibility and directs you to the correct site. |
| Live Coverage Start | Tue, Nov. 4, 4:00 p.m. | FOX 5 NY digital and streaming | fox news nyc live and live news fox 5 provide continuous updates. |
| Results Refresh | After 9:00 p.m. | Live results pages and broadcasts | Real-time new york voting results with borough-level breakdowns. |
Where the candidates stand right now
Voters are getting ready to cast their ballots. They’re looking at different plans for housing, safety, and transit. The next mayor will shape City Hall and answer big questions.
For those following the new york city latest news, each candidate has a clear plan. They differ on how to handle the cost of living and improve the subway, streets, and schools.
Zohran Mamdani’s progressive platform on affordability and transit
Zohran Mamdani is a Democratic Assemblymember from Astoria. He wants to help working families. He supports a rent freeze, free buses, universal childcare, and city-owned grocery stores.
He plans to fund these ideas with higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy. Mamdani’s agenda is about fairness and improving transit. His message appeals to those who care about costs and service.
Andrew Cuomo’s safety-first, housing production pitch
Andrew Cuomo is running as an independent. He promises to bring order and competence. He wants to add 5,000 NYPD officers and increase patrols in subways and retail areas.
On housing, he aims to build 500,000 new units. Cuomo believes stability is key to growth and safety. His message targets voters who want a mayor who can handle crises.
Curtis Sliwa’s law-and-order focus and Rikers stance
Curtis Sliwa, the Guardian Angels founder, focuses on tough policing and crime reduction. He wants to roll back bail reforms and reopen Rikers Island. His approach emphasizes visible patrols and swift justice.
Sliwa sees the race as a choice for security-first leadership. His supporters believe the next mayor must change street and subway norms.
Who is the mayor of New York after this race? What’s at stake
The winner will succeed Eric Adams and set the tone for urban policy. Debates have become intense, including on Israel policy. Cuomo has called Mamdani divisive, while Mamdani supports Israel’s existence and equal rights but criticizes certain policies.
National outlets see this election as a key indicator. For those following the new york city latest news, the outcome will define the mayor’s approach to budgets, transit, and housing. It will also answer who will take the oath as the next mayor.
Key demographic shifts and late-breaking coalitions

Late movement is changing the map. Neighborhood coalitions are shifting as voters consider safety, housing, and transit. In the new york city latest news, these changes are creating new stories and strategies.
Turnout patterns show a delicate balance. Campaigns focus on a few key voters while watching outer-borough trends. The post new york chatter is about whether undecided voters decide late or early.
Cuomo’s surge among Hispanic voters and independents
A recent poll shows a big change: Andrew Cuomo now leads among Hispanic voters by a single point. He was once 30 points behind Zohran Mamdani. Among independents, Cuomo’s deficit turned into a 10-point lead.
Strategists say economic worries and subway safety are behind this shift. These themes are common in new york city latest news.
These changes remind us of past late shifts in city races. Undecided voters often move together at the end. The talk around mayor adams nyc policies helps voters think about experience and crisis management.
Sliwa’s base and the spoiler effect risk
Curtis Sliwa has about 11% in recent polls, strong in conservative areas and law-and-order circles. His support seems solid, but could break if voters choose tactically. Analysts fear a spoiler effect in a three-way race, if voters against Mamdani don’t unite.
Sliwa supporters prefer Cuomo over Mamdani by 36% to 2%. This could help Cuomo if Sliwa’s message hits home late. In the post new york debate, this margin is key for last-minute appeals.
Youth and working-class support powering Mamdani
Mamdani’s strength is clear among young voters and working-class people in Brooklyn and Queens. His leads in polls are tied to affordability, transit, and tenant rights. Early turnout in these areas could secure margins before Election Day.
Grassroots energy, campus organizing, and union ties keep Mamdani’s base active. As mayor adams nyc priorities dominate, these voters see the choice as about living costs and services. This is a common theme in new york city latest news.
Media coverage and live results resources
Voters can follow the night’s events in one spot. They can find reliable streams, real-time updates, and verified turnout figures. This guide shows where to watch, when coverage starts, and how to track borough trends. It also keeps you updated with new york city latest news.
FOX 5 NY live news and Election Night coverage start time
FOX 5 NY starts coverage at 4 p.m. and goes until polls close at 9 p.m. They provide precinct updates, desk analysis, and on-the-ground reports. Viewers can watch the show and the network’s live streams for fox news nyc live updates late into the night.
Election results today Fox News and Fox 5 news update links
For detailed returns, check the FOX 5 NY results page and the election results today fox news dashboards. They show vote shares as they come in. A timely fox 5 news update follows each report, giving context on borough swings and neighborhood shifts.
How to follow fox news nyc live and live news fox 5 feeds
Keep a second screen open with fox news nyc live for county and statewide views. FOX 5 NY tracks city races block by block. Turn on push alerts for every fox 5 news update on turnout spikes, early votes, and late absentee ballots without missing on-air calls.
Best sources for latest election news and new york city latest news
The NYC Board of Elections posts verified turnout figures. The New York State Board of Elections lookup tool helps with voter info checks. For broader context, RealClearPolitics trendlines show new polling. This live updates hub aggregates reporting, adding to new york city latest news coverage across outlets.
| Resource | What it Provides | When to Use It | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| FOX 5 NY Broadcast | Studio analysis, field reports, borough maps | From 4 p.m. through final precinct uploads | Explains shifts behind each fox 5 news update |
| FOX 5 NY Live Stream | Continuous video with tickered returns | During poll close surges after 9 p.m. | Pairs visuals with real-time new york city latest news |
| Fox News Results Pages | Borough and county vote shares, turnout snapshots | As election results today fox news refresh | Shows momentum and neighborhood splits |
| NYC Board of Elections | Official turnout and check-in data | Throughout the day and at 9 p.m. updates | Verifies spikes flagged by fox news nyc live |
| RealClearPolitics | Poll averages and trendlines across firms | Pre-call analysis while votes post | Helps read nightly swings against recent polling |
Campaign trail: schedules, endorsements, and momentum
With just one day left, every minute matters. Teams are moving fast, making quick stops and late-night visits. Todays news fox and reports by briella tomassetti show how each side is trying to win the final day.
Candidate appearances across Queens, Manhattan, and beyond
Zohran Mamdani started his day on La Mega 97.9 with State Senator Gustavo Rivera at 9 a.m. He then met with digital creators at 5 p.m. and began canvassing in Hell’s Kitchen at 6 p.m. His day mixed radio, online, and street outreach.
Andrew Cuomo had no public schedule, focusing on media and operations. This strategy kept his message in the spotlight.
Curtis Sliwa campaigned with Tramell Thompson at Times Square–42nd Street at 9 a.m. He spoke at a Turning Point USA event at noon. Then, he visited early voting sites with Council Member Robert Holden and others at 3 p.m. He ended the day at North Shore Towers at 6 p.m.
Endorsements shaping perception: Sanders, AOC, Adams
Mamdani’s endorsements from Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Governor Kathy Hochul send a strong message. These names help volunteers turn interest into votes.
Cuomo’s support from former Mayor Eric Adams shows his moderate side. This appeals to undecided voters looking for stability.
Sliwa’s backing from police and business groups emphasizes his law-and-order stance. In Queens and Brooklyn, this message could sway undecided voters.
Final 24-hour ground game: canvassing, radio hits, and rallies
Campaigns are launching canvassing near subway hubs and towers. They use targeted radio to keep names in listeners’ minds. Todays news fox and local updates by briella tomassetti help with this.
Rapid-response teams are organizing rallies in areas with high early voting. Field captains coordinate these efforts with social media, making it easy for supporters to join.
Expect more meet-and-greets in Brooklyn and Queens during busy times. As news updates, the focus remains on making contact, clear messages, and increasing turnout.
Issues that could decide the race
Voters are thinking about daily costs, safety, and who can deliver services quickly. The debate affects every borough and shapes opinions on the next mayor. As election news unfolds, proposals compete on speed, scope, and budget.
Housing and cost pressures are big topics at home. They influence how families plan for the year.
Affordability and housing: rent freezes vs. 500,000 new units
Zohran Mamdani supports rent freezes, fare-free buses, universal childcare, and city-owned grocery stores. He says this offers quick relief while the city builds capacity.
Andrew Cuomo wants to add 500,000 homes to ease prices. His plan focuses on faster approvals and upzoning to increase production and supply.
Curtis Sliwa emphasizes community-focused options but centers public order as the base for economic stability. Voters ask how each plan affects taxes, timelines, and access across neighborhoods, from Astoria to the Bronx and even mixed-use hubs like cortona at forest park.
Public safety and subways: NYPD staffing and patrols
Cuomo proposes hiring 5,000 NYPD officers with more patrols in the subway and on retail corridors. He ties safer commutes to jobs and nightlife recovery.
Sliwa campaigns on rolling back bail reforms and a tougher approach on crime, including policies tied to Rikers. He says visible order restores confidence.
Mamdani urges equity and social investments alongside safety reforms, pointing to prevention and accountability. Riders following new york city latest news weigh which mix best protects trains and stations while preserving rights.
Education governance and city services at the forefront
Control of schools is back in focus. Reporting in the New York Times notes differences between Mamdani and Cuomo on mayoral authority, with families watching how policy shifts could affect classrooms.
Voters also look at sanitation pickups, park upkeep, and 311 response times. Service delivery and budgets link to who manages growth as the next new york city mayor, a thread running through the latest election news.
| Issue | Mamdani | Cuomo | Sliwa | Key Voter Question |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affordability & Housing | Rent freezes; fare-free buses; universal childcare; city-run groceries | Build 500,000 units; speed permits; zoning changes | Community-focused options with order-first framing | Immediate relief or long-term supply—what arrives first and who benefits? |
| Public Safety & Subways | Equity-driven safety reforms and social investment | Add 5,000 NYPD; boost subway and retail patrols | Roll back bail reforms; tougher stance; Rikers-related policies | Which approach cuts crime on trains while keeping rights intact? |
| Education Governance | Differs with Cuomo on mayoral control per NYT coverage | Traditional governance emphasis and executive authority | Supports firm discipline and order in school contexts | Who can raise outcomes without red tape or instability? |
| City Services | Expanded social programs funded with progressive shifts | Operational focus on efficiency and cost controls | Order-first lens tied to service reliability | Will streets, parks, and 311 improve within months, not years? |
| Neighborhood Impact | Targeted relief for renters and transit riders | Production-led growth near transit and job centers | Stability through enforcement and visible patrols | How will areas like Queens, the Bronx, and cortona at forest park feel the change? |
Across these fronts, new york city latest news tracks execution risk and timing. As ballots near, residents balance costs, safety, classrooms, and service delivery while scanning the latest election news about the next new york city mayor.
What to watch as ballots are counted

As precincts report, they start with early votes, then Election Day votes. This order shapes the picture of nyc voting results and new york voting results through the night.
Watch the flow, not just the totals. FOX 5 NY’s real-time visuals and official BOE updates track swings. Analysts frame the latest election news without calling the race.
Bronx, Brooklyn, Queens margins and turnout patterns
Brooklyn and Manhattan saw big early vote surges. Brooklyn had 67,729 early votes by Day 3, and Manhattan had 67,110. This may lead to strong numbers early on.
Queens had 52,272 early votes by Day 3. This could decide the spread, given candidate roots and diverse blocs. The Bronx margin may temper any early leads once neighborhood precincts report.
How absentee and early votes may shift late totals
Absentee and early ballots often arrive in batches. This can boost campaigns early, then tighten as Election Day precincts report late.
If independents move late, precincts may narrow gaps after midnight. Observers will measure whether swings hold once more sites upload.
Monitoring new york voting results and post New York analysis
They can track new york voting results with FOX 5 NY’s live map, Fox News returns pages, and BOE dashboards. Expect live adjustments as updates post New York, with borough overlays clarifying turnout and precinct splits.
Analysts will flag any sharp shifts between early, absentee, and day-of counts. This context anchors post new york takeaways as the picture forms.
Indicators for national narratives and latest election news
Watch how affordability, transit, and public safety frames appear in on-air breakdowns. These themes often guide the latest election news and shape national chatter ahead of the next cycle.
Margin trends by precinct type, youth participation, and swing among independents may become reference points in morning briefings and wire copy covering nyc voting results.
Conclusion
On nyc election day, the contest is set. Zohran Mamdani is the favorite in polls and betting markets. Andrew Cuomo has gained support from Hispanic voters and independents. Curtis Sliwa has a loyal base that could spoil the outcome if they don’t choose Mamdani as their second choice.
Record early turnout in Brooklyn and Manhattan, plus strong Queens numbers, may give Mamdani an edge. But Election Day surges could tighten the map.
After polls close at 9 p.m., FOX 5 NY and Fox News will provide the latest news. They will analyze precincts and watch for shifts in momentum. The result will be watched nationally for clues on urban policy and midterm signals.
Voters are also interested in whether Trump is winning in the polls today. This is seen as a broader indicator, even as the city decides its own path.
The next mayor will face big challenges on affordability, housing, public safety, and school governance. Grassroots organizing and coalition shifts are key. Campaign stops, like Scott LoBaido’s art rallies, and block-level energy show how neighborhood texture shapes outcomes.
Even simple factors, like the weather forecast in Brooklyn, influenced early lines and canvassing plans. This affected who showed up and when.
Whatever the final margin, this race shows a clear theme: organizing power and pocketbook pressure define New York’s politics. The city’s choice will have a big impact on transit, housing, and safety debates far beyond tonight’s tally.
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